Tag Archives: realtime

Jan 9 2012

Forecasting Corn

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

The picture below shows the daily corn chart using the symbol ZC. On this chart I have added the delta indicator. This indicator is based on the book Delta Phenomenon. The MarketWarrior software does not calculate the Delta count; it has a delta layout designer which allows users to work out their own count. Working out a Delta count usually takes 30 to 60 minutes.

The picture below shows my personal delta count that I developed for the corn market. This count has several high probability turning points. One of the high probability count numbers is #6. The #6 point is the next point that will occur. The #5 point just occurred on the first trading day of 2012 and the #6 point will occur in late January. We will be watching the corn market as it approaches this time period.

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Jan 7 2012

Forecasting Daily S&P500 Index with Jupiter and Saturn Aspect

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Here is the latest update for our most accurate forecasting method for the daily S&P500 index.

This is the custom Jupiter Saturn aspect. I will not review all the details of the custom aspect because we have posted the details before. You can read the previous posts discussing this method to learn more. The chart below shows the daily S&P500 and the custom Jupiter / Saturn aspect applied to the chart. This aspect forecasts a turning point approximately every 4.5 months. These forecast turning points usually turn out to be bottoms. This forecasting method has proven to be so accurate that traders who own MarketWarrior are reporting to us that they are using these forecast dates to add money to their retirement accounts. These forecast dates almost always allow MarketWarrior owners an opportunity to buy into a market bottom for their long-term buy and hold accounts.

On the chart below you can see the forecast bottoms at points A and B. If you own MarketWarrior you can check the next Jupiter Saturn aspect date. If you do not have the custom aspect indicator setup in your version of MarketWarrior email us and we will send you the indicator settings.

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Jan 7 2012

Silver Forecast Follow Up

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

This post is a follow-up to the silver forecast on January 5, 2012, which forecast the 60 minute silver chart for January 6, 2012 silver.

The first chart below shows the 60 minute chart covering the forecast period of January 6, 2012. On this chart I have added a black zig-zag arrow. This arrow is the same arrow that was shown on the forecast in the January 5, 2012 post. You can see the forecast arrow shows that the trend for January 6, 2012 was forecast as down.

This forecast was made using the MarketWarrior indicator Swing Projector which updates each time a new bar completes. Next we will look at the Swing Projector indicator at the end of January 6, 2012.

The second chart below shows the Swing Projector at the end of Friday January 6, 2012. You can see the indicator now forecasts a bottom identified by the Blue triangle with the capital B inside. Then a rally to the Blue triangle with the T inside. The exact time of this bottom – top sequence will be slightly different from what you see in the second picture because the Silver symbol YI trades on Sunday. This will cause the forecast to make an adjustment when trading starts Sunday night.

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Jan 7 2012

S&P500 mini Forecast Follow up

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Here is the follow-up blog for the forecast of the 20 minute S&P500 mini for January 6, 2012.

In the previous post made on January 5, 2012,  I forecast a turning point at the delta #1 point seen on the chart below during the day January 6, 2012. The chart below shows the short-term delta count that I have developed for the S&P500 mini. The MarketWarrior software does not calculate Delta counts; they must be calculated by hand. This usually takes 30 to 60 minutes of research. The #1 delta count usually aligns with the largest turning point of the day. On the chart below, the #1 points has aligned with a market bottom. The delta #1 count fell from a top down into the #1 point. This fall into the Delta #1 point was the largest move of the day for January 6, 2012. If you trade the S&P500 mini, you should watch the next #1 delta point when it occurs.

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Jan 6 2012

Gold Support Levels and W.D. Gann’s Square of Nine

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Here is a chart that shows the 60 minute mini gold futures contract. On this chart I have added the MarketWarrior indicator Square of Nine Chapter 2. This indicator draws support and resistance price lines based on the prices which fall on the diagonal cross and cardinal cross on the Square of Nine. On the picture below, I have added an arrow labeled A which marks a bottom on December 29, 2011 which fell right on top the support lines from the 225 degree angle from the diagonal cross on the Square of Nine. The price on this angle was 1521. This Square of Nine method has been identifying the final swing tops and bottom in gold for the last several years.

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Jan 6 2012

Forecasting S&P500 mini 20 minute chart

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

In this post I will discuss a forecast for S&P500 mini contract for June 6, 2012 on the 20 minute chart. In this forecast I will use the short term delta indicator. This is based on the technique in the book Delta Phenomenon. The delta count used here is my personal delta count which I developed. We do not sell delta counts but working out your own delta count for any market only takes about 30 to 60 minutes of research. My delta count for the 20 minute S&P500 mini has a #1 pivot between the green and red lines. This can be seen on the first chart below which shows a previous #1 point.

The second chart shows that a #1 point occurs on June 6. I have manually added a green box marking a time window where I would expect a change in trend to occur on this 20 minute chart. I will review this forecast in a few days.

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Jan 5 2012

Forecasting Silver With the Swing Projector

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2012 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

This post will discuss a forecast for the 60 minute silver chart for January 6, 2012. The picture below shows the MarketWarrior indicator named Swing Projector. This indicator projects into the future a series of swing tops and bottoms. The small circle with a t or a b mark small swing top and bottom projections. The triangles with a capital T and B represent the larger swing turning point projections. The yellow lines are the projected price levels. The picture below shows the mini silver futures contract symbol YIH2. I have manually added a red zig-zag arrow that shows the expected path of the silver price for June 6. The silver market should make a top early in the day and then should make a zig-zag move down to the point marked by the large triangle with a B inside. I expect the bottom to be made on one of the price levels identified by the yellow lines. I would like to see these tops and bottoms lines up with overbought and oversold momentum. We will review this forecast in a few days.

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Dec 23 2011

Forecasting Made Easy 2012 is now available

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2011 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

Forecasting Made Easy™ 2012 is now available. If you have a subscription to Barchart.com you can use this version of FME free. The upgrade to version 2012 contains a large number of built in symbol lists for accessing data through Barchart.com. This will allow users to get the most out of their Barchart.com subscriptions. The first 14 items listed below are the built in symbol lists or list groups. The second list shows the futures markets for which FME can create the current futures. To open the FME 2012 web site click here.

1) US stock groups
2) US stocks by A to Z groups
3) US stock in Sector groups. The US stocks are presented in one more way as sector groups. There are over 200 sector groups which group stocks by category.
4) ETFs Exchange Traded Funds. There is one listing for all the ETFs. Most of these are traded on the AMEX exchange.
5) US Cash Commodity Symbols
6) FOREX symbols. We have one symbol list for all the FOREX symbols which includes the FOREX gold and silver symbols.
7) US and Canadian Index symbols. This includes US stock sector symbols. There is a wide variety of index symbols. These symbol lists include the list of stock sector symbols. Stock sector values are indexes that often move below zero. The current FME chart does not allow negative numbers but we will be making an adjustment to this so the sector symbols can be drawn.
8) Over The Counter (OTC) and Pink Sheet stock symbols.  WARNING: Many of the stock symbols for the OTC and Pink Sheet only return a few days of data. We will be testing these symbols and removing all the symbols that only return a few days of data. Currently all the symbols are included.
9) Australian Stocks in A to Z groups
10) Canadian stocks for the Canadian Stock Exchange and the two Toronto Stock Exchanges. We have three stock symbol lists for the Canadian stocks. There is one list for each exchange.
11) London Stock Exchange
12) Indian Stock Exchange
13) Canadian Funds. There are a huge number of Canadian funds. I am not sure why there are so many Canadian funds but we include them all listed in simple A to Z groups.
14) Expired US Futures symbols. Finally there are a large number of lists that include the expired US futures contracts. We do not have any lists for expired  internationals futures contracts yet.

You Can Also Build Current Futures Symbols For The Following Exchanges.

1) Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME)
2) Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)
3) New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX)
4) Commodities Exchange (COMEX)
5) Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBT)
6) Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX)
7) EuroNext NYSE LIFFE (NLIF)
8) EuroNext Exchange (EUIDX)
9) London International Financial Futures (LIFFE)
10) EuroNext London Futures (LCE)
11) EuroNext Paris Futures (MATIF)
12) Marche a Terme International de France (MATIF)
13) Intercontinental Exchange USA (ICEUS)
14) Intercontinental Exchange Europe (ICE)
15) CBOE Futures Exchange (CFE)
ARGENTINA
16) Mercado a Termino de Buenos Aires (MATBA)
17) Rosario Futures Exchange (ROFEX)
AUSTRALIA
18) Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE)
BRAZIL
19) BM&F Bovespa (BMF)
CANADA
20) Montreal Exchange (MNTRL)Winnipeg Grain Exchange (WGE)
CHINA
21) Hong Kong Financial Exchange (HKFE)
22) Zhengzhou Commodities Exchange (CZCE)
23) Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE)
24) Dalian Commodities Exchange (DCE)
DUBAI
25) Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME)
INDIA
26) National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX)
27) National Stock Exchange India (NSE)
28) Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX)
JAPAN
29) Tokyo Commodities Exchange (TOCOM)
30) Tokyo Grain Exchange (TGE)
KOREA
31) Korean Futures Exchange (KFE)
MALAYSIA
32) Malaysia Derivatives Exchange (MDEX)
SINGAPORE
33) Singapore International Monetary Exchange (SIMEX)
34) Singapore Commodities Exchange (SICOM)
SPAIN
35) Spanish Financial Futures Exchange (MEFF)
SOUTH AFRICA
36) Johannesburg Stock Exchange (SAFEX)
THAILAND
37) Thailand Stock Exchange (TFEX)
38) Thailand Futures Exchange (TAIWA)

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Dec 23 2011

Titanium Metals TIE Forecast Using Mirror Cycle

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2011 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

I previously posted a forecast of the stock Titanium Metals (TIE) using the moving average indicator’s mirror cycle forecast. Here in this post I will show the current forecast for TIE using the same method. The chart below is the 720 minute TIE chart made using Forecasting Made Easy 2012. The 720 minute chart is basically 2 bars per day. All the indicators in Forecasting Made Easy can be used to forecast market cycles by setting a historical top or bottom as the starting point for the indicator to display a forecast into the future. In the picture below I have set the moving average forecast starting point on the TIE top that occurred in the last week on October 2011. After this date the moving average is drawing a mirror cycle forecast. This forecast roughly lined up with the swing tops and bottoms at points A, B, C and D. After point D the forecast cycle makes a swing down into the first week of 2012. The forecast for TIE is for the stock to decline into the end of the year and through the first week of 2012.

The subchart I have a multi time frame momentum indicator. The green line is the 720 minute momentum indicator. The magenta line that is slightly stair stepped is the weekly momentum. Now notice the weekly momentum is in the middle of the momentum range which is 0 to 100. And notice the 720 minute momentum is at the top of the range very close to 100.  So the short time frame momentum is over bought and the long-term momentum in neutral. This indicates the market is ready to make a top.

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Dec 23 2011

Gold Forecast Based on Platinum

Written by:
Patrick Mikula CTA
Mikula Forecasting Company
www.MikulaForecasting.com
support@MikulaForecasting.com
Copyright © 2011 by Patrick Mikula All Rights Reserved

I wanted to post this chart a week ago but I could not find the time. I believe this chart still has value for traders watching the gold market. The big question for gold traders going into 2012 is whether gold is going to continue the bull market into 2012. There is a simple way to determine if gold prices are going to be heading down or up. You simply need to plot gold on the same chart as platinum. The chart below was made with Forecasting made Easy 2012 and shows the weekly gold and platinum using the same price scale. The normal relationship for these two metals is that platinum is higher priced than gold. Notice on this chart the platinum red bars are below the gold green and blue bars. As long as the platinum price is below the gold price the bull market in gold will not continue. So for now the gold forecast is for prices to move sideways to down and this will be the forecast as long as platinum prices are below the gold price.

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